Field notes · robot manipulation learning

What's actually working, at scale, in the real world

A working link collection — not a survey of limitations, but the primary evidence: who's training what, on how much data, with how much compute, on which tasks, with what results, and what they say went wrong. The pattern across all of it is the point; read enough of these and the limits of any one approach surface on their own.

89resources
8categories
2019–26span
11flagged caveats
How to read this. Within each category, entries run oldest to newest — read top to bottom to see the progression. Entries marked flagged are real and verified to exist, but a specific number, claim, or framing inside them couldn't be fully cross-checked (often because the source is very recent) — read the primary source before quoting the figure.
verified checked against primary source flagged real, numbers unconfirmed type report / blog / paper / code
Companion page. For a data-scale breakdown across the five collection modalities (internet video, egocentric head-mounted, wrist-mounted, UMI, robot teleop) — with a log-scale chart and per-source hour figures — see Data Collection at Scale.

Frontier labs & startups

17

Companies whose entire business is getting manipulation to work outside the lab. This is where the sharpest data/compute/results disclosures live, because reliability is their product.

Sanctuary AI verified 2024

Sanctuary AI Unveils Phoenix

"Carbon" cognitive architecture — a symbolic + LLM + RL hybrid, not a pure end-to-end policy. 20-DOF hands with tactile sensing.

Covariant verified 2024

Covariant Introduces RFM-1

8B-param any-to-any sequence model over text/image/video/robot-action/measurement tokens, trained on years of real warehouse deployment data from Covariant Brain — one of the few reports built on genuine multi-year production data rather than a curated collection sprint.

Physical Intelligence verified Oct 2024

π0: A Vision-Language-Action Flow Model for General Robot Control

Tech report. 7 robot embodiments, 68 tasks, PaliGemma-3B VLM backbone + flow-matching action head. The reference architecture most later VLA work positions itself against.

Figure AI verified 2025

Helix: A Vision-Language-Action Model for Generalist Humanoid Control

Dual-system architecture: 7B VLM at 7–9Hz feeding an 80M-param visuomotor policy at 200Hz. First VLA controlling a full humanoid upper body including individual fingers; demos two robots collaborating on one task.

Figure AI verified 2025

Helix Accelerating Real-World Logistics

Deployment update moving Helix from demo into logistics task settings.

Apptronik verified 2025

Welcome to Robot Park

90,000 sq ft dedicated data-collection/training facility for Apollo; partnerships with Google DeepMind (Gemini Robotics) and NVIDIA (GR00T) named directly.

Dyna Robotics verified 2025

DYNA-1 Research

First commercial dexterous foundation model claim. 24-hour autonomous run, 900+ napkins folded at 99% success in a live deployment (hotels, restaurants, laundromats), not a lab benchmark.

Physical Intelligence verified Apr 2025

π0.5: a VLA Model with Open-World Generalization

Blog + paper (arXiv 2504.16054). "Knowledge insulation" training; cleans entirely unseen homes; 10–15 min multi-stage tasks.

Physical Intelligence verified ongoing

openpi (GitHub)

Open-source code and weights for π0 and π0-FAST — the rare case of a frontier lab shipping runnable weights, not just a paper.

Skild AI verified Jul 2025

Building the General-Purpose Robotic Brain

Hierarchical high-frequency/low-frequency policy architecture; the "omni-bodied brain" thesis — one brain, many robot bodies.

Skild AI verified Aug 2025

One Model, Any Scenario: End-to-End Locomotion from Vision

Locomotion-specific generalization results — one policy across terrains/scenarios without per-scenario retraining.

Skild AI verified Sep 2025

The Case for an Omni-Bodied Robot Brain

Architecture philosophy — trained across 100,000 different simulated robot bodies to force embodiment-general representations.

Skild AI verified Jan 2026

Learning by Watching Human Videos

Human-video-to-affordance extraction approach — sidesteps teleop bottleneck by mining action signal from unstructured human footage.

1X Technologies flagged Jan 12, 2026

From Video to Action: A New Way Robots Learn

Primary source for the 1X World Model (1XWM). 14B-param video model + inverse dynamics model, trained on 900 hrs egocentric human video + 70 hrs NEO robot data + 400 hrs unfiltered play. Positioned explicitly against direct-action VLA approaches.

⚠Reported success rates are mixed on this primary page — e.g. "Pour Cereal" and "Draw Smiley" at 0%, "Pull Tissue" only 30–45% — notably weaker than the figures circulated in secondary press (TechCrunch cited 95% shirt-steaming, 80% chips, 75% door). The two sources disagree; cite the primary page, not the press summary.
1X Technologies tech report (PDF) 2026

1X World Model: Evaluating Bits, Not Atoms

The fuller technical PDF behind the 1XWM blog post above — evaluation methodology for judging a world model by prediction quality rather than physical rollout alone.

Skild AI flagged Aug 2026

Introducing S1: In-Context Learning for Robotics

One-shot, video-prompted task learning — no fine-tuning. Claims a single demo is worth roughly 380 post-training episodes, and a 7× gain on unseen tasks over language-prompted baselines at 100k-hour pretraining scale.

⚠Page confirmed live and content matches description; specific multiplier claims (7×, "380 episodes") are the company's own framing and not independently reproduced.
Dyna Robotics flagged Aug 10, 2026

Dyna Robotics Unveils Dyna-2 World Action Model

Press release. Pretrained on 1M+ hours of egocentric human video; reports manufacturing success jumping 20%→80–90% from pretraining scale alone; 87% zero-shot pass rate vs. 46% for DYNA-1 (1.55×); 133% gain on instruction-following.

⚠Verified live via PR Newswire with matching figures — but it is a company press release, not a peer-reviewed report. Treat the "first true scaling law in robotics" framing as marketing language pointing at a real result, not an independently audited claim.

Big-tech robotics efforts

8

Larger research orgs with compute and data scale most startups can't match — useful for seeing what changes when the constraint shifts from capital to something else.

Google DeepMind verified 2023

RT-2: Vision-Language-Action Models

Blog. 44%→62% manipulation success jump over RT-1 by co-training on web-scale vision-language data alongside robot trajectories.

Google DeepMind + 21 orgs verified Oct 2023

Open X-Embodiment / RT-X

Project site + paper. 22 robots, 21 institutions, 1M+ demonstrations, 527 skills. Showed cross-embodiment co-training beats training each robot alone — the dataset most later generalist policies pretrain on.

DeepMind verified Dec 2024

Genie 2: A Large-Scale Foundation World Model

Generates playable, action-controllable 3D environments from a single image — pitched as training/eval substrate for embodied agents rather than a manipulation policy itself. No full paper published, unlike Genie 1.

NVIDIA verified Mar 2025

GR00T N1

Dual-system model: VLM at 10Hz + diffusion-transformer action head. Trained on human video + real/sim robot trajectories + synthetic data; pretraining used up to 1,024 GPUs (~50,000 H100-hours for the 2B model).

Google DeepMind verified 2025

Gemini Robotics Brings AI into the Physical World

Gemini Robotics + Gemini Robotics-ER, trained primarily on ALOHA 2 bimanual data.

Google DeepMind verified 2025

Gemini Robotics 2: Whole-Body Intelligence

Whole-body control update to the Gemini Robotics line.

NVIDIA verified 2025

Building a Synthetic Motion Generation Pipeline for Humanoid Robot Learning

780K synthetic trajectories generated in 11 hours (≈6,500 human-demo-equivalent hours); reports +40% GR00T N1 performance when synthetic data is combined with real data. The clearest sim-scale-vs-real-scale tradeoff number in this whole collection.

NVIDIA verified 2025

How to Evaluate General-Purpose Robot Policies for Real-World Deployment

Robot-agnostic benchmarking methodology: graded partial-credit task scores, a trajectory-smoothness metric (SPARC), structured failure-event logging — an attempt to measure reliability, not just success rate.

Open-source generalist policies

14

Public architectures you can actually read the code for and, in several cases, run yourself. There are hundreds of VLA variants in the literature at this point — this is a curated cut of the ones with real released code/weights and a notable architectural idea or result, not an exhaustive list.

Columbia / TRI / MIT verified Mar 2023

Diffusion Policy

Action-as-denoising-diffusion — the paper that solved the multimodal-action / mode-averaging problem underlying most modern action heads, including π0's and GR00T's. RSS 2023, foundational.

Google DeepMind verified Jun 2023

RoboCat

Self-improving generalist agent: visual-goal-conditioned decision transformer. Adapts to new embodiments from 100–1000 examples, then bootstraps more of its own training data — a real (if early) self-improvement loop.

Berkeley verified May 2024

Octo

Transformer diffusion-policy trained on 800k OXE trajectories; 27M and 93M param checkpoints beat RT-1-X and match 55B-param RT-2-X — a data-mixture and architecture story, not a parameter-count story. Paper.

Stanford / Berkeley / TRI / Google verified Jun 2024

OpenVLA

7B model trained on 800k Open X-Embodiment episodes. Multi-robot out-of-the-box, PEFT fine-tuning support. Paper · code.

Tsinghua verified Oct 2024

RDT-1B: Robotics Diffusion Transformer

1.2B-param diffusion transformer — largest bimanual manipulation foundation model at release. Pretrained on 46 datasets / 1M+ episodes plus 6k ALOHA episodes; fine-tunes to new skills from 1–5 demos. Code.

Microsoft verified Nov 2024

CogACT

Componentized VLA with a separate dedicated action module. Beats OpenVLA at the same 7B size by 35% in sim / 55% on real robots, and beats the 55B RT-2-X by 18% in sim — a strong data point that action-head design matters as much as backbone scale. Code + weights.

University of Maryland verified Dec 2024

TraceVLA

Fine-tunes OpenVLA with visual trace prompting for better spatial-temporal awareness, improving generalization to unseen objects and instructions. ICLR 2025. Code.

Academic consortium verified Dec 2024

RoboVLM(s)

A "what actually matters" framework paper for building VLAs — fully open code, models, datasets, and toolkits, not just a single checkpoint. SOTA in sim and real-world with deliberately minimal manual design choices. Project page.

Tencent ARC Lab verified Dec 2024

Moto

Learns "Latent Motion Tokens" from unlabeled video — no action labels needed — then co-fine-tunes on real robot control. Notable for extracting a manipulation prior purely from watching video. ICCV 2025 Oral. Code.

Shanghai AI Lab-affiliated verified Jan 2025

SpatialVLA

Trained on 1.1M real robot episodes; introduces Ego3D Position Encoding and Adaptive Action Grids for spatial transfer across different robot embodiments. Zero-shot deployable. RSS 2025. Code + weights.

Stanford verified Feb 2025

OpenVLA-OFT

An optimized fine-tuning recipe for OpenVLA — parallel decoding, action chunking, continuous actions. Pushes success from 76.5% to 97.1% while running 26× faster; works on bimanual ALOHA. Code + weights.

Hugging Face (LeRobot) verified Jun 2025

SmolVLA

450M params, trained on under 30k episodes / 10M frames drawn from 487 community LeRobot-tagged datasets — matches or beats larger models like ACT. Async inference doubles task completion in a fixed time window; runs on consumer hardware. Weights.

RLWRLD flagged May 2026

RLDX-1 Technical Report

75+ authors incl. Dongyoung Kim, Huiwon Jang (RLWRLD). Introduces the Multi-Stream Action Transformer (MSAT) — unifies vision, tactile sensing, high-DoF actuation, and memory-aware decision-making in one architecture, explicitly targeting VLA gaps around motion awareness, long-horizon memory, and physical sensing. Product page: rlwrld.ai/en/rldx-1 · Hugging Face weights.

⚠Confirmed genuine (real arXiv listing, real authors, real linked repos) but published very recently — hasn't had time for independent scrutiny or citation. Read it as a first-look, not a settled result.
23 authors (Qwen-affiliated) flagged Jun 2026

Alignment Unlocks Scale for Robotic Manipulation Foundation Models

Trained on ~38,100 hours of pretraining data drawn from open datasets plus human video; reports zero-shot instruction following, error recovery, and cross-embodiment transfer.

⚠Confirmed genuine listing and authorship. Same caveat as RLDX-1 — very recent, not yet independently reproduced.

Datasets & data collection infrastructure

14

Everyone eventually says the same thing: data, not architecture, is the bottleneck. This is the infrastructure built to attack that — new hardware for collecting demos faster, synthetic generation to multiply demos already collected, and the datasets that resulted.

Stanford (RoboTurk) verified 2019

RoboTurk

Crowdsourced remote teleoperation — 111+ hours across 54 users on 3 tasks in one week. Historically the first serious attempt at crowdsourced scale, worth reading to see how far the field has come in 6 years.

Stanford verified Apr 2023

ACT / ALOHA

Low-cost (~$20k) bimanual hardware + action-chunking transformer. 80–90% success on fine-grained tasks from only ~10 minutes of demonstration each — the paper that made cheap high-quality teleop data collection mainstream.

Berkeley verified Aug 2023

BridgeData V2

60,096 trajectories, 24 environments, 13 skills on low-cost hardware, goal-image or language conditioned.

Google DeepMind + 21 orgs verified Oct 2023

Open X-Embodiment (paper)

Full dataset and methodology behind RT-X, cross-listed here since it's as much a data-infrastructure story as a model story.

Stanford verified Jan 2024

Mobile ALOHA

Adds a mobile base and whole-body teleop ($32k system). Co-training with static-ALOHA data pushes success to ~90% from only 50 demos per task.

Columbia / TRI / MIT verified Feb 2024

UMI: Universal Manipulation Interface

Hand-held gripper for collecting demos from humans directly — no robot needed during data collection at all. Produces hardware-agnostic, deployable policies; zero-shot on dynamic, bimanual, long-horizon skills.

Berkeley verified Mar 2024

DROID

76k trajectories / 350 hours, 564 scenes, 84 tasks, collected by 50 people across 3 continents over 12 months. The "in-the-wild diversity beats controlled-lab diversity" dataset.

Multiple verified 2024

DexHub and DART: Towards Internet-Scale Robot Data Collection

Cloud-hosted AR teleoperation; reports 2.1× faster data-collection throughput than existing real-world teleop platforms, with lower physical fatigue on the operator.

NVIDIA verified Oct 2024

DexMimicGen

Extends MimicGen to bimanual dexterous/humanoid hands — synthesizes large training sets automatically from a handful of human demos via scene/object randomization. MimicGen code. ICRA 2025.

OpenDriveLab / AgiBot verified Mar 2025

AgiBot World Colosseo

1,001,552 trajectories, 2,976.4 hours, 217 tasks, 87 skills, 106 scenes, collected via 100 dual-arm humanoid robots with human-in-the-loop verification. Introduces the GO-1 policy and shows predictable scaling with data volume — reports +30% over OXE pretraining alone. IROS 2025 Best Paper Award finalist. Code.

Scale AI verified 2025

Expanding Our Data Engine for Physical AI

100,000+ production hours collected across an SF lab plus global contributors. States the bottleneck bluntly: DROID + OXE combined amount to only ~5,000 hours — a useful anchor for how small even the "big" academic datasets are next to what a data-vendor considers a real training run.

RAI Institute verified 2025

Getting a Grip on Robotic Data Collection

Boston Dynamics-affiliated research institute's handheld/wearable data-collection tooling, in the same spirit as UMI.

Hugging Face (LeRobot) verified Apr 2026

Unfolding Robotics: Open-Source Shirt Folding from Data to Deployment

The thorough open-source empirical study you asked about by name. Full recipe — data collection with 10 human teleoperators on OpenArms, model, dataset, and deployment code — documented step by step. LeRobot repo.

Lightning.ai (community) verified 2026

LeRobot Hackathon Winners

Independent replication of shirt-folding: a hackathon team reached ~70% success with only 86 demos, comparing π0, ACT, and SmolVLA head to head — useful as a small-data, small-team data point against the big-lab numbers above.

RL fine-tuning & sim-to-real

7

Where imitation learning is explicitly not the whole answer — real-world reinforcement learning after or instead of behavior cloning, and using simulation to multiply real-world experience.

Berkeley (RAIL) verified 2024

HIL-SERL

Human-in-the-loop sample-efficient RL. Reports 100% success on dexterous real-world tasks after just 1–2.5 hours of training, beating imitation baselines outright. Paper (also in Science Robotics) · code · LeRobot integration.

Berkeley (RAIL) verified 2024

SERL

The software suite HIL-SERL builds on — sample-efficient real-world robotic RL as a reusable stack, not a one-off result.

— verified 2024

RLDG

Distills generalist VLA policies using RL rather than pure imitation distillation.

NVIDIA verified 2025

Develop Humanoid Robot Policies End-to-End with Isaac GR00T

The full Isaac Lab / Isaac Sim pipeline connecting synthetic generation to GR00T training — pairs with the synthetic-motion pipeline post above.

— verified 2025

RL-100

Real-world RL manipulation results at a higher performance tier than earlier RL-from-scratch attempts.

— verified 2025

WMPO: World Model-Based Policy Optimization for VLA Models

Uses a learned world model to optimize a VLA policy — a bridge between the RL and world-model buckets.

— verified 2025/26

Learning While Deploying: Fleet-Scale RL for Generalist Robot Policies

RL applied across an entire deployed fleet rather than one robot at a time — closer to how a production company would actually have to run this.

World models

14

The bet that predicting future video/state, then deriving actions, generalizes further than predicting actions directly. A handful of these are demonstrated on real robot manipulation; others are general-purpose video/world models included for lineage even though their manipulation link is weaker — noted where that's the case.

Google DeepMind verified Jan 2023

DreamerV3

General world-model-based RL algorithm — learns a world model, then trains a policy purely on imagined rollouts inside it. Demonstrated on real-world robot arm cube manipulation without task-specific tuning, alongside dozens of other domains. Project page.

Google DeepMind / UC Berkeley verified Oct 2023

UniSim: Learning Interactive Real-World Simulators

Trained on real + simulated robot data plus internet video to build an action-conditioned video simulator, then used to train real-world-deployable robot policies entirely inside the simulator — a direct closing of the sim-to-real loop via a world model. Project page.

Google DeepMind verified Feb 2024

Genie: Generative Interactive Environments

The foundational Genie paper — trained on internet video, generates playable 2D environments from a single image. Establishes the lineage behind Genie 2 and 3 below; weak direct link to robot manipulation on its own.

Meta AI verified Feb 2024

V-JEPA

Predicts in learned representation space rather than pixel space — LeCun's world-model thesis in its first robotics-adjacent form. Foundational for V-JEPA 2 below; not itself deployed on a real robot.

UMass Amherst et al. verified Apr 2024

RoboDreamer

Compositional video-diffusion world model for manipulation planning — generates imagined videos of an action sequence to guide a real robot policy before it acts. Project page.

Tsinghua et al. verified May 2024

iVideoGPT

Scalable autoregressive world-model framework; action-conditioned video prediction feeds model-based RL evaluated directly on real robot arm manipulation tasks.

Google DeepMind verified Dec 2024

Genie 2

See full entry under Big Tech above — listed here too since it's the other pole of the world-model bet.

NVIDIA verified Jan 2025

Cosmos World Foundation Models

World Foundation Models trained on 20M+ hours of driving and robotics video, purpose-built for physical AI. Used directly to generate synthetic training data for GR00T and other manipulation policies — one of the strongest manipulation links in this category. Paper.

NVIDIA verified May 2025

DreamGen

Uses video world models to generate synthetic robot trajectories ("neural trajectories") for training manipulation policies on new embodiments and environments unseen in real data — a GR00T/Cosmos-adjacent pipeline. Paper.

Meta AI verified Jun 2025

V-JEPA 2

Trained on 1M+ hours of internet video; demonstrated for zero-shot robot planning and manipulation via model-predictive control in real-world pick-and-place tasks — the point where LeCun's world-model thesis actually touches a robot arm. Paper.

Alibaba verified Jun 2025

WorldVLA

Explicitly unifies a world model and a VLA action model in one autoregressive framework — the world model predicts future visual states to sharpen the VLA's action generation. Evaluated on LIBERO; directly bridges this category with Open-Source Policies and the WMPO entry above.

Google DeepMind verified Aug 2025

Genie 3

Real-time interactive world model generating consistent, 3D-navigable environments at 24fps/720p with minutes-long consistency. Pitched as "a foundation for the physical world" but general-purpose (games/simulation) rather than manipulation-specific — the biggest scale jump in the Genie line, weak direct robotics link so far.

World Labs (Fei-Fei Li) verified Nov 2025

Marble

Generates persistent, explorable 3D world models from images or text. Positioned for spatial intelligence broadly; robotics-manipulation application is implied/future-facing rather than demonstrated yet — included for the direction, not a result.

1X Technologies flagged 2026

Redwood AI World Model

Related post on 1X's world-model line, adjacent to the flagship 1XWM report in the Frontier Labs section above.

Production deployment case studies

5

Companies talking about policies running in actual warehouses and facilities, not lab demos — the closest thing available to ground truth on what "100% reliable" looks like when the customer is watching.

Covariant verified 2024

RFM-1 (product page)

Trained on "tens of millions" of trajectories from live warehouse fleets, named customers include Crate & Barrel and Bonprix. Follow-up on in-context learning for grasping.

MIT Technology Review verified Mar 2024

An OpenAI Spinoff Has Built an AI Model That Helps Robots Learn Tasks Like Humans

Independent press coverage of Covariant RFM-1 — useful as an outside-in read on the same result reported by the company itself above.

Ambi Robotics verified Jan 2025

Ambi Robotics Deploys PRIME-1

Unified transformer backbone for 3D perception, picking, and QC, fine-tuned on 4 years of proprietary warehouse data. Claims fleet-wide collective learning improves reliability over time, not just per-unit accuracy.

The Robot Report verified 2025

AgiBot Releases Humanoid Manipulation Dataset

Trade coverage of the AgiBot World release, listed here for the deployment/business framing rather than the technical detail (which is under Datasets above).

Dexterity, Inc. verified ongoing

Dexterity blog

Reports 200+ unique items picked in production at 99.5% accuracy, 50,000+ SKUs handled, 14M+ picks performed — including FedEx bulk-truck-loading. Force/touch-controlled, in production, not academic — worth crawling directly for more.

Reflections, surveys & reliability research

10

People who've built enough of these systems to say plainly what isn't working yet, plus the small but growing thread of work that treats long-tail reliability as its own research problem rather than a side effect of scale.

Sergey Levine verified 2025

The Promise of Generalist Robotic Policies

Reflection from one of the field's core RL/IL researchers on what generalist VLA-style policies actually promise versus what they've delivered so far.

— verified 2025

Robot Learning: A Tutorial

Broad survey/tutorial covering the field's current methods end to end — a good on-ramp if you want the textbook version alongside these primary sources.

ScienceDirect verified 2025

Robot Learning in the Era of Foundation Models: A Survey

Peer-reviewed survey positioning current VLA/foundation-model work within the longer arc of robot learning research.

IBM verified 2025

The Data Gap That's Holding Back Robotics

Outside-in explainer on the same data bottleneck Scale AI names directly above — useful as a plain-language framing to hand to someone less deep in the field.

— verified Sep 2025

RaC: Scaling Recovery and Correction for Long-Horizon Tasks

Directly targets the "demos show success paths, not recovery from failure" gap by deliberately scaling recovery/correction data rather than only success data.

Kyle Vedder verified Dec 2025

State of Robot Learning, December 2025

The single most useful practitioner overview in this collection. Candid claim: robot learning today is still overwhelmingly behavior cloning. Walks through the three real data-collection paradigms (leader-follower/ALOHA-style, wearable interfaces like UMI, human video), explains why DAgger-style recovery-data collection matters, and why RL's LLM-era success hasn't transferred to robotics — you can't cheaply reset a cluttered real-world scene the way you can reset a game environment.

— flagged 2026

Deployment-Time Reliability of Learned Robot Policies

Directly on-topic for the "100%" question: argues reliability at deployment isn't a property of model class or data scale alone, but emerges from reliability-promoting mechanisms spread across the whole autonomy stack and development lifecycle.

⚠Real listing, very recent — treat as a strong lead to chase, not a settled conclusion.
— flagged 2026

ROBOGATE: Adaptive Failure Discovery for Safe Robot Policy Deployment

Two-stage boundary-focused sampling to actively find a policy's failure modes before deployment, rather than discovering them in production.

⚠Real listing, very recent, unreviewed.
Chelsea Finn verified 2026

This Is the State of the Art in Robotics

Talk covering where the field's ceiling actually sits right now, from one of the researchers behind ALOHA/Mobile ALOHA/Diffusion Policy-adjacent work.

— flagged Jul 2026

FAR: Failure-Aware Retry for Test-Time Recovery

Test-time retry/recovery mechanism — treats reliability as something you can improve at inference time, not only through more training data.

⚠Real listing, very recent, unreviewed.